Rupee Plunges to All-time Low of 79.71 per US Dollar Today; Will it Touch 80 Soon?


The Indian rupee touched a report low for the fourth straight session on Thursday. The native foreign money opened buying and selling at a lifetime low of 79.71 (provisional) per US greenback in comparison with its earlier shut of 79.63. The strengthening greenback after US inflation had jumped to four-decade excessive and persevering with outflow of international funds from the home market, have dragged rupee down.’

The United States Consumer Price Index climbed to 9.1 per cent in June, the best enhance in additional than 4 many years. Analysts anticipate that the United States Federal Reserve will hike the rates of interest by one other 75 to 100 foundation factors on the finish of the month to deal with scorching inflation.

More-than-expected fee hike by the central financial institution surged the worth of US greenback on Thursday. The US greenback index, which measures the unit towards six main currencies, was at 108.30 within the morning, as towards the earlier shut of 107.75, confirmed Bloomberg information. The safe-haven attraction of the US greenback has additionally been boosted amid rising fears of a recession.

The foreign money has slumped to a brand new report low stage 26 occasions since Russia invaded Ukraine late in February, confirmed information.

India’s widening commerce deficit and a persistent outflow of international funding have additionally taken a toll on the home foreign money. India’s merchandise commerce deficit grew to a report $25.63 billion in June, in line with the info launched by the ministry of commerce and trade. The web outflow by international portfolio buyers (FPIs) from equities reached Rs 2.21 lakh crore thus far this yr, confirmed information.

Will Rupee Hit 80-per-Dollar mark?

Analysts talked about that rupee may contact 80 towards the US greenback quickly. “The rupee is expected to depreciate today amid strong dollar and risk aversion in global markets. Market sentiments are hurt as red hot inflation in the US stoked bets that the US Fed may have to raise interest rates much more than expected, even 100 bps. Additionally, consistent FII outflows and concerns on looming recession may hurt rupee. USD-INR (July) is expected to trade in a range of 79.50-80.00,” mentioned ICICI Direct in a observe.

“The rupee plunged amid further weakness in the domestic equity markets and continuous FPI outflows. We expect the rupee to remain volatile this week and could hold its key support level of 80.05,” mentioned Rahul Kalantri, VP Commodities, Mehta Equities Ltd.

“As we approach the near term objective of 79.9, volatility may resurface, towards which end, the downside marker may be pushed higher towards 79.4. Dips to 79.58-50 may be an ideal entry point for longs,” commented Anand James – chief market strategist at Geojit Financial Services.

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